Home » Bitcoin Bitcoin holds $40K over Easter but thin liquidity, ‘capitulation’ risk haunt traders Bitcoin Reading 2 min Views 3 Expectations remain that Bitcoin will head lower in the short term as price compression becomes the main chart feature of the Easter weekend so far. Bitcoin (BTC) chose compression over the Easter weekend, sparing nervous traders a fresh dive below $40,000. BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView Derivatives traders take no risks Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD acting in a narrowing range with $40,700 as its ceiling on April 17 and April 16. The pair saw little action as the holiday period began, with United States equities markets off from April 15 onwards, allowing crypto to avoid correlation-based volatility. With April 18, likewise, a non-trading day, Bitcoin was set for four days of “out-of-hours” trading. While that meant its stocks correlation mattered less, there were other forces at play ready to spook sentiment. Market liquidity stayed lower than on workdays, and while standard, some feared that any sudden moves could be exacerbated as a result of thinner order books. Analyzing derivatives moves over the weekend as Deribit Insights, the research arm of trading platform Deribit, flagged liquidity as one consideration influencing real-time investor decisions. 5) So while this could be a bearish bet, it is also likely protective of AUM.But why now?Perhaps they are concerned about Spot/deriv market manipulation over an illiquid weekend.Perhaps just concerned over the next week against falls <40k, but prefer to lose low-cost premium. pic.twitter.com/spNXiurWqr — Deribit Insights (@DeribitInsights) April 16, 2022 A slight zoom-out from popular trader and commentator Pentoshi, meanwhile, delivered a more wary perspective. For them, only a reclaim of levels significantly beyond the current narrow trading range on low timeframes would suffice for a more bullish feeling on what could come next for BTC/USD. “44.5k most important spot for bullish momentum currently. 42k 1D Resistance,” he summarized to Twitter followers on April 16 alongside an explanatory chart. Discussing why #Bitcoin market psychology is mirroring $6K pre-capitulation. Long Term – Bullish. Medium Term – I see downside risk. pic.twitter.com/reAn6qHg0p — Kevin Svenson (@KevinSvenson_) April 16, 2022 Svenson added that Bitcoin was “getting there” in terms of following a historical pattern of putting in a macro low around 800 days after each block subsidy halving. The last halving — on May 11, 2020 — was 706 days ago. The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.